Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Military Employment Growth
Across Ohio Counties
Military
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Military
Employment Growth
Ohio:
2010-2022 = -0.55%
2022 = -4.28%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of military employment growth across all of Ohio's 88 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Ohio Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the military employment growth of Ohio's 88 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Military
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Military
Employment Growth
Ohio:
2010-2022 = -0.55%
2022 = -4.28%
This figure displays the 88 counties of Ohio as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual military employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the military employment growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term military employment growth exceeded the statewide average of -0.55%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at -0.55% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual military employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (-0.55%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 14 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 74 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 29 counties whose most recent (2022) military employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (-4.28%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 59 counties whose military employment growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 88 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of -0.55% over 2010-2022 and -4.28% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual military employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (-0.55%) and near-term (-4.28%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual military employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (-0.55%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Ohio average (-4.28%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual military employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (-0.55%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (-4.28%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual military employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (-0.55%) and near-term (-4.28%).
   
 
Summary of Ohio's 88 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(-4.28%)
Above
(-4.28%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(-0.55%)
5
9
14
Below
(-0.55%)
54
20
74
 
59
29
88
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Ohio:
2010-2022 = -0.55%
2022 = -4.28%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Ohio counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Ohio's average annual military employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = -0.55%) as well as near-term (2022 = -4.28%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual military employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Ohio's 88 counties, just 9 (10%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Ohio:
2010-2022 = -0.55%
2022 = -4.28%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 5 Ohio counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual military employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = -0.55%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = -4.28%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual military employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 5 (6%) of Ohio's 88 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Ohio:
2010-2022 = -0.55%
2022 = -4.28%
This figure shows the distribution of the 20 Ohio counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual military employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = -0.55%), while they outpaced Ohio's average near-term (2022 = -4.28%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual military employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Ohio's 88 counties, 23% (20) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Ohio:
2010-2022 = -0.55%
2022 = -4.28%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 54 Ohio counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual military employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = -0.55%) as well as near-term (2022 = -4.28%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual military employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
61% of Ohio's counties, 54 of 88, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Ohio
Military Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
12
-0.32
 
18
-3.57
918
 
9
-0.21
 
7
-2.74
497
 
2
1.45
 
3
-1.67
529
 
6
-0.06
 
9
-2.91
433
 
10
-0.22
 
14
-3.36
259
 
7
-0.11
 
10
-2.96
131
 
14
-0.53
 
11
-3.00
388
 
3
1.25
 
2
-1.32
150
 
11
-0.27
 
26
-3.94
317
Slipping Counties
 
5
0.12
 
85
-6.88
379
 
1
2.26
 
45
-4.72
3,267
 
13
-0.50
 
41
-4.67
102
 
8
-0.20
 
86
-8.05
434
 
4
0.56
 
75
-5.73
576
Gaining Counties
 
65
-1.16
 
29
-4.27
314
 
35
-0.79
 
6
-2.15
91
 
62
-1.14
 
28
-4.23
68
 
32
-0.79
 
24
-3.89
173
 
25
-0.69
 
21
-3.74
103
 
39
-0.88
 
15
-3.50
138
 
60
-1.10
 
4
-1.91
154
 
31
-0.79
 
17
-3.54
109
 
15
-0.55
 
13
-3.31
731
 
19
-0.59
 
25
-3.92
98
 
49
-1.04
 
1
0.11
3,663
 
83
-1.48
 
12
-3.03
32
 
33
-0.79
 
16
-3.53
82
 
29
-0.72
 
22
-3.83
201
 
52
-1.04
 
18
-3.57
27
 
34
-0.79
 
27
-4.11
280
 
28
-0.71
 
8
-2.82
172
 
40
-0.92
 
5
-2.10
140
 
27
-0.70
 
20
-3.61
267
 
73
-1.25
 
23
-3.85
50
Lagging Counties
 
71
-1.22
 
80
-5.97
63
 
43
-0.93
 
60
-5.22
236
 
46
-0.96
 
51
-4.84
118
 
87
-1.65
 
32
-4.33
221
 
42
-0.92
 
47
-4.79
139
 
36
-0.82
 
64
-5.36
106
 
84
-1.52
 
61
-5.26
144
 
53
-1.05
 
44
-4.72
101
 
85
-1.57
 
43
-4.69
61
 
68
-1.18
 
63
-5.32
89
 
45
-0.96
 
79
-5.94
95
 
80
-1.43
 
54
-5.02
227
 
41
-0.92
 
37
-4.49
85
 
76
-1.29
 
78
-5.88
96
 
66
-1.17
 
52
-4.98
3,323
 
55
-1.07
 
49
-4.80
119
 
59
-1.10
 
66
-5.52
171
 
37
-0.86
 
72
-5.71
66
 
21
-0.62
 
57
-5.08
3,383
 
22
-0.63
 
41
-4.67
102
 
30
-0.75
 
46
-4.76
220
 
75
-1.27
 
33
-4.35
88
 
16
-0.57
 
69
-5.66
1,999
 
64
-1.15
 
30
-4.29
67
 
86
-1.64
 
72
-5.71
33
 
58
-1.10
 
80
-5.97
63
 
56
-1.08
 
77
-5.80
65
 
50
-1.04
 
56
-5.06
75
 
17
-0.57
 
47
-4.79
139
 
20
-0.61
 
31
-4.33
575
 
88
-1.66
 
76
-5.76
131
 
57
-1.08
 
71
-5.71
1,041
 
18
-0.58
 
82
-6.12
92
 
78
-1.39
 
35
-4.44
516
 
23
-0.67
 
88
-14.29
144
 
82
-1.48
 
67
-5.56
51
 
69
-1.18
 
87
-11.43
31
 
48
-1.02
 
53
-5.00
133
 
24
-0.68
 
33
-4.35
44
 
51
-1.04
 
40
-4.65
82
 
77
-1.34
 
39
-4.62
62
 
70
-1.19
 
55
-5.05
94
 
47
-0.98
 
50
-4.82
79
 
81
-1.47
 
59
-5.20
164
 
74
-1.26
 
65
-5.43
122
 
63
-1.15
 
58
-5.17
110
 
26
-0.70
 
62
-5.27
880
 
54
-1.06
 
38
-4.52
1,245
 
61
-1.12
 
84
-6.85
476
 
38
-0.86
 
35
-4.44
215
 
44
-0.95
 
72
-5.71
66
 
79
-1.41
 
83
-6.45
29
 
72
-1.25
 
68
-5.63
134
 
67
-1.18
 
70
-5.68
83
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
-0.55
 
-4.28
33,566
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
-0.85
 
-3.11
1,869,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1500N_520200_LSGL
 
   
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