Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Educational Services Employment Growth
Across Ohio Counties
Educational Services
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Educational Services
Employment Growth
Ohio:
2010-2022 = 0.23%
2022 = 6.77%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of educational services employment growth across all of Ohio's 88 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Ohio Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the educational services employment growth of Ohio's 88 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Educational Services
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Educational Services
Employment Growth
Ohio:
2010-2022 = 0.23%
2022 = 6.77%
This figure displays the 88 counties of Ohio as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual educational services employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the educational services employment growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term educational services employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 0.23%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 0.23% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual educational services employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (0.23%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 27 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 21 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 25 counties whose most recent (2022) educational services employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (6.77%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 23 counties whose educational services employment growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 88 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 0.23% over 2010-2022 and 6.77% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual educational services employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (0.23%) and near-term (6.77%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual educational services employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (0.23%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Ohio average (6.77%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual educational services employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (0.23%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (6.77%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual educational services employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (0.23%) and near-term (6.77%).
   
 
Summary of Ohio's 88 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(6.77%)
Above
(6.77%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(0.23%)
11
16
27
Below
(0.23%)
12
9
21
 
23
25
48
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Ohio:
2010-2022 = 0.23%
2022 = 6.77%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Ohio counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Ohio's average annual educational services employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 0.23%) as well as near-term (2022 = 6.77%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual educational services employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Ohio's 88 counties, 16 (18%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Ohio:
2010-2022 = 0.23%
2022 = 6.77%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 11 Ohio counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual educational services employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 0.23%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 6.77%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual educational services employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 11 (13%) of Ohio's 88 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Ohio:
2010-2022 = 0.23%
2022 = 6.77%
This figure shows the distribution of the 9 Ohio counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual educational services employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 0.23%), while they outpaced Ohio's average near-term (2022 = 6.77%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual educational services employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Ohio's 88 counties, only 10% (9) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Ohio:
2010-2022 = 0.23%
2022 = 6.77%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 12 Ohio counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual educational services employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 0.23%) as well as near-term (2022 = 6.77%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual educational services employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
14% of Ohio's counties, 12 of 88, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Ohio
Educational Services Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
18
1.18
 
13
10.63
333
 
25
0.65
 
7
12.76
2,562
 
16
1.28
 
22
8.56
1,179
 
8
3.07
 
26
7.67
3,229
 
19
1.14
 
25
7.71
824
 
13
1.74
 
36
6.93
1,265
 
9
2.23
 
16
9.14
3,498
 
14
1.63
 
24
8.41
16,840
 
23
0.80
 
10
11.67
134
 
5
3.69
 
6
12.84
1,485
 
27
0.29
 
18
9.09
12
 
15
1.62
 
31
7.17
867
 
24
0.72
 
32
7.15
6,414
 
1
9.84
 
12
11.45
506
 
12
1.85
 
29
7.41
87
 
11
1.91
 
20
8.78
1,387
Slipping Counties
 
2
7.13
 
67
-1.68
176
 
10
2.14
 
42
6.12
156
 
6
3.33
 
43
6.03
123
 
22
0.91
 
50
5.40
2,088
 
7
3.09
 
60
2.97
243
 
17
1.23
 
49
5.53
1,890
 
4
4.73
 
41
6.25
612
 
26
0.48
 
47
5.63
975
 
20
1.13
 
59
3.32
404
 
3
4.75
 
48
5.56
2,827
 
21
1.03
 
44
5.98
922
Gaining Counties
 
41
-1.37
 
8
12.54
350
 
30
0.04
 
34
7.06
182
 
32
-0.16
 
19
9.02
290
 
34
-0.56
 
28
7.43
28,819
 
37
-0.68
 
37
6.83
5,211
 
47
-3.24
 
29
7.41
1,363
 
36
-0.65
 
35
7.02
183
 
43
-1.39
 
27
7.49
287
 
35
-0.64
 
4
13.52
1,234
Lagging Counties
 
40
-0.92
 
51
5.25
1,304
 
46
-1.63
 
55
4.67
1,075
 
39
-0.91
 
38
6.76
395
 
44
-1.49
 
46
5.73
406
 
28
0.17
 
39
6.58
19,819
 
45
-1.58
 
57
4.01
1,323
 
48
-3.42
 
45
5.88
72
 
38
-0.71
 
53
4.82
2,307
 
33
-0.35
 
63
1.53
3,588
 
29
0.06
 
58
3.48
9,707
 
42
-1.37
 
62
1.70
1,139
 
31
-0.05
 
56
4.02
4,782
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
54
4.76
66
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
11
11.52
184
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
52
5.06
83
 
U
U
 
64
1.15
441
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
33
7.14
15
 
U
U
 
9
11.85
151
 
U
U
 
15
9.86
78
 
U
U
 
S
S
182
 
U
U
 
5
12.86
351
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
40
6.26
1,206
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
66
0.00
66
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
23
8.43
90
 
U
U
 
2
35.08
978
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
21
8.70
100
 
U
U
 
3
17.89
145
 
U
U
 
17
9.14
203
 
U
U
 
1
50.85
267
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
14
10.00
11
 
U
U
 
65
0.59
1,864
 
U
U
 
61
2.86
144
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
0.23
 
6.77
146,698
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1.65
 
6.24
4,885,700
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1500N_511500_LSGL
 
   
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