Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Farm Employment Growth
Across Ohio Counties
Farm
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Farm
Employment Growth
Ohio:
2010-2022 = 0.30%
2022 = -1.37%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of farm employment growth across all of Ohio's 88 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Ohio Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the farm employment growth of Ohio's 88 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Farm
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Farm
Employment Growth
Ohio:
2010-2022 = 0.30%
2022 = -1.37%
This figure displays the 88 counties of Ohio as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual farm employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the farm employment growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term farm employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 0.30%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 0.30% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual farm employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (0.30%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 41 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 47 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 54 counties whose most recent (2022) farm employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (-1.37%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 34 counties whose farm employment growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 88 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 0.30% over 2010-2022 and -1.37% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual farm employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (0.30%) and near-term (-1.37%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual farm employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (0.30%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Ohio average (-1.37%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual farm employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (0.30%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (-1.37%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual farm employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (0.30%) and near-term (-1.37%).
   
 
Summary of Ohio's 88 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(-1.37%)
Above
(-1.37%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(0.30%)
18
23
41
Below
(0.30%)
16
31
47
 
34
54
88
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Ohio:
2010-2022 = 0.30%
2022 = -1.37%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Ohio counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Ohio's average annual farm employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 0.30%) as well as near-term (2022 = -1.37%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual farm employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Ohio's 88 counties, 23 (26%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Ohio:
2010-2022 = 0.30%
2022 = -1.37%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 18 Ohio counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual farm employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 0.30%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = -1.37%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual farm employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Observe that 18 (20%) of Ohio's 88 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Ohio:
2010-2022 = 0.30%
2022 = -1.37%
This figure shows the distribution of the 31 Ohio counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual farm employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 0.30%), while they outpaced Ohio's average near-term (2022 = -1.37%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual farm employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Ohio's 88 counties, 35% (31) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Ohio:
2010-2022 = 0.30%
2022 = -1.37%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 16 Ohio counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual farm employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 0.30%) as well as near-term (2022 = -1.37%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual farm employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
18% of Ohio's counties, 16 of 88, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Ohio
Farm Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
7
1.15
 
23
-0.99
700
 
11
0.80
 
38
-1.17
757
 
16
0.67
 
27
-1.03
1,156
 
25
0.49
 
25
-1.01
1,181
 
2
1.53
 
9
-0.76
1,176
 
33
0.36
 
20
-0.92
433
 
34
0.36
 
28
-1.03
864
 
5
1.24
 
49
-1.32
2,100
 
13
0.77
 
2
-0.60
498
 
29
0.40
 
3
-0.61
490
 
31
0.40
 
30
-1.06
1,397
 
39
0.32
 
12
-0.82
604
 
3
1.31
 
7
-0.75
798
 
37
0.35
 
6
-0.72
1,235
 
20
0.59
 
5
-0.70
565
 
26
0.47
 
53
-1.35
657
 
14
0.71
 
24
-1.00
696
 
21
0.58
 
26
-1.02
1,360
 
28
0.43
 
40
-1.22
1,056
 
38
0.34
 
50
-1.32
821
 
18
0.66
 
48
-1.31
1,056
 
32
0.39
 
44
-1.27
700
 
6
1.20
 
18
-0.89
1,118
Slipping Counties
 
23
0.50
 
74
-1.71
747
 
27
0.46
 
58
-1.44
820
 
1
1.56
 
84
-2.69
579
 
10
0.85
 
70
-1.68
1,053
 
19
0.64
 
60
-1.45
884
 
35
0.35
 
86
-2.94
396
 
40
0.32
 
63
-1.50
917
 
4
1.25
 
82
-2.30
1,192
 
9
1.02
 
70
-1.68
1,755
 
24
0.49
 
66
-1.62
789
 
22
0.51
 
79
-1.91
1,078
 
8
1.06
 
75
-1.78
1,271
 
41
0.31
 
81
-2.17
902
 
30
0.40
 
59
-1.45
885
 
17
0.66
 
62
-1.50
985
 
36
0.35
 
57
-1.42
1,107
 
15
0.70
 
78
-1.85
2,392
 
12
0.78
 
73
-1.70
1,328
Gaining Counties
 
43
0.28
 
8
-0.75
1,328
 
54
0.11
 
54
-1.36
946
 
50
0.18
 
43
-1.26
1,096
 
63
0.04
 
51
-1.34
1,174
 
45
0.24
 
32
-1.08
1,096
 
75
-0.08
 
15
-0.88
1,359
 
49
0.20
 
37
-1.17
931
 
62
0.04
 
36
-1.15
772
 
65
0.00
 
35
-1.11
891
 
68
-0.02
 
45
-1.29
843
 
47
0.23
 
19
-0.89
777
 
80
-0.21
 
16
-0.88
1,012
 
48
0.23
 
52
-1.35
880
 
66
0.00
 
14
-0.86
919
 
64
0.03
 
21
-0.94
844
 
56
0.08
 
10
-0.77
1,416
 
79
-0.16
 
1
-0.56
353
 
78
-0.14
 
13
-0.83
597
 
59
0.07
 
39
-1.18
919
 
69
-0.02
 
11
-0.80
497
 
51
0.16
 
47
-1.30
908
 
53
0.12
 
4
-0.62
482
 
71
-0.05
 
46
-1.30
1,143
 
73
-0.07
 
33
-1.08
1,004
 
67
-0.01
 
22
-0.98
707
 
57
0.07
 
31
-1.08
1,097
 
60
0.05
 
29
-1.06
1,027
 
58
0.07
 
41
-1.25
951
 
61
0.05
 
17
-0.88
224
 
76
-0.10
 
34
-1.09
995
 
52
0.16
 
42
-1.25
630
Lagging Counties
 
84
-0.41
 
65
-1.60
924
 
42
0.28
 
55
-1.39
1,138
 
88
-1.16
 
85
-2.81
173
 
70
-0.04
 
56
-1.39
1,918
 
74
-0.07
 
72
-1.69
582
 
55
0.08
 
80
-1.91
513
 
85
-0.47
 
88
-4.37
722
 
87
-0.82
 
87
-3.06
1,298
 
83
-0.37
 
83
-2.51
466
 
44
0.25
 
76
-1.79
660
 
82
-0.29
 
61
-1.48
601
 
81
-0.25
 
67
-1.62
1,395
 
77
-0.13
 
64
-1.59
869
 
72
-0.06
 
69
-1.65
1,371
 
86
-0.74
 
77
-1.81
326
 
46
0.23
 
68
-1.64
1,080
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
0.30
 
-1.37
82,352
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
-0.17
 
-0.23
2,567,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1500N_400000_LSGL
 
   
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