Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Federal Civilian Earnings Growth
Across Ohio Counties
Real* Federal Civilian
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Federal Civilian
Earnings Growth
Ohio:
2010-2022 = 2.89%
2022 = 4.42%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real federal civilian earnings growth across all of Ohio's 88 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Ohio Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real federal civilian earnings growth of Ohio's 88 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Federal Civilian
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Federal Civilian
Earnings Growth
Ohio:
2010-2022 = 2.89%
2022 = 4.42%
This figure displays the 88 counties of Ohio as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real federal civilian earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real federal civilian earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 2.89%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 2.89% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (2.89%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 25 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 63 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 46 counties whose most recent (2022) real federal civilian earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (4.42%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 42 counties whose real federal civilian earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 88 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 2.89% over 2010-2022 and 4.42% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (2.89%) and near-term (4.42%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (2.89%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Ohio average (4.42%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (2.89%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (4.42%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (2.89%) and near-term (4.42%).
   
 
Summary of Ohio's 88 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(4.42%)
Above
(4.42%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(2.89%)
7
18
25
Below
(2.89%)
35
28
63
 
42
46
88
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Ohio:
2010-2022 = 2.89%
2022 = 4.42%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Ohio counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Ohio's average annual real federal civilian earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 2.89%) as well as near-term (2022 = 4.42%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Ohio's 88 counties, 18 (20%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Ohio:
2010-2022 = 2.89%
2022 = 4.42%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 7 Ohio counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 2.89%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 4.42%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 7 (8%) of Ohio's 88 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Ohio:
2010-2022 = 2.89%
2022 = 4.42%
This figure shows the distribution of the 28 Ohio counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 2.89%), while they outpaced Ohio's average near-term (2022 = 4.42%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Ohio's 88 counties, 32% (28) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Ohio:
2010-2022 = 2.89%
2022 = 4.42%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 35 Ohio counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real federal civilian earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 2.89%) as well as near-term (2022 = 4.42%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
40% of Ohio's counties, 35 of 88, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Ohio
Real* Federal Civilian Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
17
3.22
 
9
13.28
67,265
 
4
5.00
 
11
9.40
46,708
 
3
5.85
 
3
45.14
36,024
 
11
3.91
 
41
5.23
29,419
 
2
8.02
 
1
74.91
41,990
 
15
3.37
 
37
5.64
11,525
 
16
3.31
 
6
17.15
52,979
 
20
3.19
 
18
8.37
12,602
 
5
4.96
 
2
63.21
67,274
 
23
3.07
 
15
8.67
8,527
 
6
4.61
 
5
19.25
48,314
 
14
3.41
 
28
6.88
588,402
 
22
3.14
 
17
8.42
9,469
 
9
4.43
 
27
7.24
37,071
 
18
3.21
 
29
6.49
17,315
 
24
3.02
 
12
9.32
235,444
 
12
3.62
 
20
8.23
33,029
 
19
3.20
 
7
15.22
23,799
Slipping Counties
 
8
4.45
 
74
1.00
9,437
 
25
2.91
 
64
2.31
71,537
 
7
4.55
 
54
3.66
2,352,022
 
21
3.16
 
87
-2.64
3,953
 
1
8.86
 
62
2.78
33,073
 
10
4.03
 
59
2.94
25,145
 
13
3.54
 
85
-1.79
7,188
Gaining Counties
 
26
2.85
 
19
8.24
9,787
 
77
0.76
 
39
5.33
13,514
 
46
2.02
 
36
6.03
4,024
 
47
2.02
 
13
9.01
6,185
 
80
0.31
 
34
6.12
14,815
 
65
1.39
 
33
6.20
7,093
 
35
2.32
 
16
8.48
9,880
 
38
2.28
 
21
8.23
5,026
 
81
0.25
 
22
8.14
5,928
 
70
1.13
 
4
30.29
11,670
 
31
2.58
 
42
5.03
1,175,010
 
52
1.88
 
25
7.66
5,861
 
62
1.51
 
32
6.30
8,774
 
48
1.93
 
23
8.02
3,947
 
33
2.40
 
26
7.32
6,686
 
28
2.69
 
8
14.56
209,731
 
63
1.47
 
35
6.12
11,449
 
43
2.05
 
38
5.60
19,540
 
74
0.92
 
14
8.91
22,234
 
78
0.59
 
24
7.99
1,527
 
57
1.68
 
43
4.91
7,095
 
41
2.09
 
30
6.44
62,856
 
75
0.90
 
10
10.29
6,626
 
42
2.07
 
31
6.33
109,597
 
30
2.58
 
44
4.90
49,907
 
87
-0.40
 
46
4.42
1,322
 
59
1.60
 
40
5.27
6,668
 
60
1.59
 
45
4.51
19,362
Lagging Counties
 
61
1.56
 
48
4.34
5,243
 
69
1.28
 
53
3.69
37,591
 
66
1.34
 
47
4.41
18,689
 
51
1.89
 
55
3.59
23,983
 
83
0.12
 
76
0.56
8,403
 
88
-1.26
 
71
1.24
48,654
 
49
1.89
 
49
4.32
7,488
 
32
2.43
 
61
2.85
2,135,070
 
79
0.37
 
60
2.87
8,135
 
36
2.30
 
77
0.47
1,618,982
 
58
1.60
 
81
-0.19
8,086
 
72
1.08
 
80
0.27
14,840
 
71
1.11
 
70
1.37
5,618
 
84
-0.26
 
78
0.37
3,768
 
50
1.89
 
84
-1.22
5,655
 
40
2.10
 
50
4.03
12,010
 
85
-0.29
 
67
1.88
15,308
 
29
2.67
 
63
2.57
10,334
 
53
1.80
 
52
3.96
13,545
 
44
2.04
 
57
3.06
207,245
 
67
1.30
 
75
0.85
126,633
 
86
-0.30
 
86
-2.36
4,878
 
34
2.33
 
83
-1.06
8,745
 
45
2.02
 
68
1.84
4,417
 
76
0.86
 
73
1.19
4,176
 
39
2.13
 
65
2.28
4,034
 
37
2.29
 
79
0.30
5,070
 
54
1.76
 
51
3.99
6,697
 
64
1.43
 
88
-2.71
5,602
 
56
1.74
 
66
2.20
186,637
 
55
1.75
 
72
1.23
10,130
 
68
1.29
 
58
3.02
10,561
 
82
0.13
 
69
1.48
4,038
 
27
2.72
 
82
-0.44
25,708
 
73
1.06
 
56
3.24
4,680
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2.89
 
4.42
10,306,278
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2.98
 
3.80
397,841,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_620100_LSGL
 
   
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