Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Construction Earnings Growth
Across Ohio Counties
Real* Construction
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Construction
Earnings Growth
Ohio:
2010-2022 = 5.35%
2022 = 5.61%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real construction earnings growth across all of Ohio's 88 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Ohio Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real construction earnings growth of Ohio's 88 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Construction
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Construction
Earnings Growth
Ohio:
2010-2022 = 5.35%
2022 = 5.61%
This figure displays the 88 counties of Ohio as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real construction earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real construction earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real construction earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 5.35%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 5.35% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real construction earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (5.35%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 39 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 40 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 32 counties whose most recent (2022) real construction earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (5.61%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 47 counties whose real construction earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 88 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 5.35% over 2010-2022 and 5.61% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real construction earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (5.35%) and near-term (5.61%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real construction earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (5.35%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Ohio average (5.61%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real construction earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (5.35%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (5.61%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real construction earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (5.35%) and near-term (5.61%).
   
 
Summary of Ohio's 88 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(5.61%)
Above
(5.61%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(5.35%)
17
22
39
Below
(5.35%)
30
10
40
 
47
32
79
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Ohio:
2010-2022 = 5.35%
2022 = 5.61%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Ohio counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Ohio's average annual real construction earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 5.35%) as well as near-term (2022 = 5.61%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real construction earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Ohio's 88 counties, 22 (25%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Ohio:
2010-2022 = 5.35%
2022 = 5.61%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 17 Ohio counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real construction earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 5.35%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 5.61%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real construction earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Observe that 17 (19%) of Ohio's 88 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Ohio:
2010-2022 = 5.35%
2022 = 5.61%
This figure shows the distribution of the 10 Ohio counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real construction earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 5.35%), while they outpaced Ohio's average near-term (2022 = 5.61%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real construction earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Ohio's 88 counties, only 11% (10) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Ohio:
2010-2022 = 5.35%
2022 = 5.61%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 30 Ohio counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real construction earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 5.35%) as well as near-term (2022 = 5.61%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real construction earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
34% of Ohio's counties, 30 of 88, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Ohio
Real* Construction Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
21
6.95
 
22
10.10
237,808
 
5
15.15
 
16
11.08
85,057
 
29
5.89
 
12
11.69
71,285
 
16
7.40
 
24
8.74
373,226
 
10
8.50
 
17
10.83
4,161,104
 
23
6.86
 
34
5.77
516,329
 
3
23.44
 
8
15.84
26,161
 
22
6.91
 
19
10.70
88,609
 
7
11.06
 
33
6.20
472,514
 
20
7.10
 
13
11.48
63,716
 
38
5.49
 
23
9.60
453,335
 
28
5.90
 
11
11.72
532,730
 
26
6.07
 
18
10.71
236,592
 
6
14.25
 
31
6.25
80,032
 
17
7.27
 
35
5.64
150,244
 
1
36.20
 
3
19.25
12,686
 
13
8.09
 
30
6.33
112,393
 
8
9.49
 
14
11.29
142,398
 
35
5.54
 
27
7.40
105,683
 
15
7.47
 
1
41.31
120,423
 
19
7.22
 
20
10.54
450,756
 
27
5.96
 
26
8.63
99,892
Slipping Counties
 
33
5.75
 
67
1.43
94,550
 
25
6.57
 
71
0.45
1,192,969
 
36
5.52
 
39
5.30
40,985
 
31
5.79
 
83
-19.09
148,066
 
2
28.39
 
43
5.02
66,151
 
9
9.14
 
65
1.61
517,041
 
32
5.76
 
40
5.17
138,951
 
18
7.23
 
38
5.46
98,265
 
4
21.36
 
85
-38.10
24,076
 
14
7.96
 
42
5.08
88,163
 
34
5.57
 
44
4.88
254,883
 
39
5.47
 
51
4.29
1,349,448
 
11
8.49
 
45
4.67
232,430
 
24
6.83
 
69
0.91
144,084
 
37
5.50
 
84
-27.97
31,696
 
12
8.43
 
59
3.13
544,696
 
30
5.88
 
36
5.54
357,471
Gaining Counties
 
61
3.95
 
25
8.69
191,651
 
51
4.78
 
10
13.01
49,110
 
73
2.87
 
6
17.50
47,044
 
50
4.79
 
28
7.38
40,061
 
76
1.81
 
7
16.17
66,132
 
43
5.07
 
29
6.39
2,705,060
 
54
4.70
 
32
6.24
455,871
 
48
4.83
 
2
26.33
79,884
 
62
3.89
 
4
17.94
88,858
 
46
4.86
 
5
17.59
545,273
Lagging Counties
 
67
3.45
 
48
4.35
95,561
 
74
2.45
 
54
4.03
134,347
 
42
5.11
 
50
4.30
459,126
 
60
4.04
 
63
2.66
2,570,671
 
71
3.32
 
41
5.12
117,242
 
63
3.88
 
76
-2.01
98,381
 
68
3.42
 
49
4.32
234,945
 
77
1.12
 
82
-7.08
61,195
 
75
2.16
 
72
0.25
16,127
 
40
5.20
 
70
0.45
79,340
 
55
4.62
 
68
1.18
39,554
 
58
4.22
 
52
4.14
192,533
 
41
5.12
 
46
4.50
191,230
 
47
4.84
 
77
-2.17
459,751
 
65
3.54
 
47
4.40
958,468
 
66
3.52
 
61
2.95
484,666
 
70
3.36
 
53
4.06
60,561
 
78
0.59
 
80
-6.48
20,999
 
52
4.73
 
78
-2.82
123,134
 
49
4.79
 
57
3.38
1,111,492
 
56
4.53
 
64
2.32
15,143
 
59
4.16
 
74
-1.30
18,262
 
79
-2.39
 
73
-0.50
41,253
 
44
5.01
 
58
3.26
305,367
 
45
4.93
 
75
-1.63
65,968
 
64
3.78
 
37
5.49
98,152
 
72
2.95
 
79
-4.78
102,127
 
57
4.34
 
66
1.44
148,378
 
53
4.73
 
60
3.11
807,888
 
69
3.40
 
55
3.98
54,055
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
81
-6.57
58,310
 
U
U
 
62
2.76
58,520
 
U
U
 
S
S
110,646
 
U
U
 
15
11.15
64,551
 
U
U
 
21
10.24
143,414
 
U
U
 
S
S
108,296
 
U
U
 
S
S
84,516
 
U
U
 
9
14.26
11,857
 
U
U
 
56
3.55
156,237
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
5.35
 
5.61
28,148,105
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
5.09
 
7.26
915,317,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_610400_LSGL
 
   
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