Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Diagnosing Employment Growth
Across Ohio Counties
Employment Growth by County
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2021 and 2021
Employment Growth by County
Ohio:
2010-2021 = 0.75%
2021 = 2.85%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of employment growth across all of Ohio's 88 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Ohio Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the employment growth of Ohio's 88 counties over the year (2021) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2021). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Employment Growth by County
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2021 and 2021
Employment Growth by County
white dot
Ohio:
2010-2021 = 0.75%
2021 = 2.85%
This figure displays the 88 counties of Ohio as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2021), and the horizontal axis representing the employment growth rate for the near-term (2021).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 0.75%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 0.75% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (0.75%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 30 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2021, while 58 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 31 counties whose most recent (2021) employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (2.85%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 57 counties whose employment growth over 2021 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 88 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2021) and near-term (2021) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 0.75% over 2010-2021 and 2.85% over 2021:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are the thirteen counties whose average annual employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (0.75%) and near-term (2.85%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are the seventeen counties whose long-term average annual employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (0.75%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Ohio average (2.85%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are the eighteen counties whose long-term average annual employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (0.75%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (2.85%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are the forty counties whose average annual employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (0.75%) and near-term (2.85%).
   
 
Summary of Ohio's 88 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(2.85%)
Above
(2.85%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(0.75%)
17
13
30
Below
(0.75%)
40
18
58
 
57
31
88
 
   
Leading Counties
2021 vs. 2010-2021 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Ohio:
2010-2021 = 0.75%
2021 = 2.85%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Ohio counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Ohio's average annual employment growth both long-term (2010-2021 = 0.75%) as well as near-term (2021 = 2.85%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual employment growth rate over 2010-2021 as noted in the table below.
Of Ohio's 88 counties, just 13 (15%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
NOTE: Click on any county name to highlight its position in the chart above.
Slipping Counties
2021 vs. 2010-2021 Averages
Slipping Counties
white dot
Ohio:
2010-2021 = 0.75%
2021 = 2.85%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 17 Ohio counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2021 = 0.75%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2021 = 2.85%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual employment growth rate over 2010-2021.
Observe that 17 ( 19%) of Ohio's 88 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
NOTE: Click on any county name to highlight its position in the chart above.
Gaining Counties
2021 vs. 2010-2021 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Ohio:
2010-2021 = 0.75%
2021 = 2.85%
This figure shows the distribution of the 18 Ohio counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2021 = 0.75%), while they outpaced Ohio's average near-term (2021 = 2.85%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual employment growth rate over 2010-2021.
Of Ohio's 88 counties, 20% (18) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
NOTE: Click on any county name to highlight its position in the chart above.
Lagging Counties
2021 vs. 2010-2021 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Ohio:
2010-2021 = 0.75%
2021 = 2.85%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 40 Ohio counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual employment growth both long-term (2010-2021 = 0.75%) as well as near-term (2021 = 2.85%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual employment growth rate over 2010-2021.
45% of Ohio's counties, 40 of 88, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
NOTE: Click on any county name to highlight its position in the chart above.
   
 
Ohio
Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2021
 
2021
 
 
Leading Counties
 
25
0.91
 
11
3.94
88,088
 
4
2.42
 
5
5.81
134,722
 
11
1.28
 
15
3.44
67,108
 
7
1.54
 
22
3.15
1,008,815
 
1
3.00
 
2
8.01
102,591
 
28
0.77
 
14
3.56
135,127
 
6
2.08
 
1
9.69
25,734
 
26
0.85
 
16
3.32
89,655
 
27
0.80
 
4
5.83
16,856
 
18
1.06
 
10
4.28
18,122
 
3
2.49
 
19
3.26
44,102
 
2
2.57
 
7
5.07
137,713
 
8
1.45
 
9
4.30
88,165
Slipping Counties
 
29
0.77
 
51
2.19
27,019
 
17
1.08
 
43
2.56
27,872
 
15
1.11
 
54
2.04
207,552
 
10
1.34
 
56
1.95
10,115
 
22
0.96
 
36
2.70
56,997
 
9
1.43
 
55
2.01
104,730
 
19
1.05
 
63
1.59
55,719
 
5
2.42
 
48
2.34
31,859
 
13
1.23
 
84
-0.29
26,789
 
20
0.98
 
39
2.66
56,631
 
16
1.08
 
58
1.88
10,913
 
21
0.98
 
35
2.71
37,784
 
30
0.75
 
45
2.54
50,185
 
14
1.20
 
74
0.82
15,277
 
24
0.91
 
75
0.71
3,688
 
23
0.92
 
65
1.53
68,484
 
12
1.25
 
34
2.74
12,592
Gaining Counties
 
81
-0.33
 
8
4.90
24,072
 
41
0.56
 
26
3.04
933,183
 
43
0.55
 
21
3.17
26,795
 
50
0.37
 
3
6.68
46,999
 
64
0.02
 
24
3.09
24,284
 
55
0.29
 
23
3.14
28,528
 
87
-0.77
 
12
3.77
27,743
 
36
0.59
 
20
3.17
19,614
 
58
0.20
 
13
3.57
25,104
 
33
0.62
 
17
3.31
4,779
 
61
0.18
 
30
2.89
45,709
 
59
0.20
 
27
2.94
20,142
 
39
0.57
 
6
5.54
21,530
 
46
0.46
 
25
3.06
13,094
 
51
0.33
 
18
3.30
31,888
 
37
0.59
 
29
2.91
33,684
 
42
0.55
 
28
2.92
210,453
 
82
-0.36
 
31
2.87
87,802
Lagging Counties
 
73
-0.17
 
44
2.56
10,778
 
68
-0.05
 
53
2.15
62,453
 
65
-0.02
 
62
1.64
41,722
 
35
0.60
 
60
1.83
30,365
 
84
-0.47
 
32
2.78
28,120
 
66
-0.03
 
69
1.10
13,928
 
32
0.70
 
85
-0.31
15,235
 
72
-0.17
 
38
2.69
61,029
 
71
-0.16
 
78
0.44
41,227
 
74
-0.19
 
71
0.97
15,168
 
83
-0.38
 
80
0.35
17,417
 
75
-0.20
 
40
2.62
20,233
 
69
-0.06
 
83
-0.21
14,054
 
88
-0.78
 
70
1.01
14,931
 
54
0.30
 
76
0.69
19,554
 
38
0.58
 
33
2.77
653,205
 
80
-0.30
 
86
-1.50
11,628
 
47
0.43
 
82
-0.18
5,410
 
70
-0.14
 
81
-0.04
14,475
 
52
0.33
 
72
0.94
17,128
 
31
0.72
 
42
2.59
10,500
 
85
-0.48
 
87
-1.59
13,415
 
44
0.52
 
73
0.86
30,692
 
56
0.29
 
41
2.59
125,470
 
62
0.13
 
49
2.28
256,311
 
67
-0.04
 
47
2.37
127,764
 
79
-0.29
 
64
1.57
30,846
 
63
0.09
 
68
1.22
6,246
 
86
-0.57
 
88
-2.50
5,861
 
57
0.27
 
66
1.25
321,371
 
45
0.52
 
52
2.15
4,839
 
60
0.18
 
77
0.48
7,157
 
34
0.62
 
61
1.70
10,483
 
40
0.56
 
57
1.91
78,389
 
78
-0.27
 
37
2.70
63,644
 
77
-0.24
 
59
1.84
31,915
 
76
-0.20
 
67
1.25
26,388
 
48
0.40
 
46
2.52
347,108
 
53
0.30
 
50
2.23
33,744
 
49
0.40
 
79
0.43
21,696
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
0.75
 
2.85
7,048,306
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1.31
 
3.82
202,752,100
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_1000_LSGL
 
   
Copyright © 2023. Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Analysis Project (PNREAP). All Rights Reserved.

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