Pickaway County vs. Ohio Comparative Trends Analysis: Population Growth and Change, 1969-2022 Introduction Pickaway County: 2022 Population = 60,023 2022 Percent of State = 0.51% Ohio: 2022 Population = 11,756,058 2022 Percent of U.S. = 3.53% Attracting and retaining people to live, work, raise a family, and retire underlies the economic vitality of any region. Population growth is both a cause--and a consequence--of economic growth. Patterns of population growth and change reflect differences among regions to attract and retain people both as producers and consumers in their economy. The following graphs offer a broad overview of trends in the pattern of population growth and change of Pickaway County with comparisons to Ohio and the nation at large. This analysis features alternative approaches toward discussing, diagnosing and comparing Pickaway County vs. Ohio's population growth over 1969-2022. The data used are those compiled by the Regional Income and Product Divisions of the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce. Population, 1969-2022 Figure 1. Figure 1 tracks Pickaway County's annual population for the period 1969-2022 to illustrate population patterns over time. During this 54-year period, Pickaway County's population rose from 39,286 in 1969 to 60,023 in 2022, for a net gain of 20,737, or 52.78%. NOTE: The county and state population totals reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) are from the Bureau of Census midyear (July 1) estimates. These estimates may differ from those prepared independently in some states by various agencies and/or universities. Population, 1969-2022 Figure 2. Figure 2 tracks Ohio's annual population for the period 1969-2022 to illustrate population patterns over time. During this 54-year period, Ohio's population rose from 10,563,000 in 1969 to 11,756,058 in 2022, for a net gain of 1,193,058, or 11.29%. NOTE: The county and state population totals reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) are from the Bureau of Census midyear (July 1) estimates. These estimates may differ from those prepared independently in some states by various agencies and/or universities. Population Indices (1969=100): 1969-2022 Figure 3. Figure 3 portrays Pickaway County's population growth in a broader context by offering direct comparisons across time with Ohio, the United States. The growth indices shown here express each region's population in 1969 as a base figure of 100, and the populations in later years as a percentage of the 1969 base figure. This method allows for more direct comparison of differences in population growth between regions that may differ vastly in size. Pickaway County's overall population growth was 52.78% over 1969-2022 outpaced Ohio's increase of 11.29%, and fell below the United States' increase of 65.57%. Population as a Percent of the Ohio Total: 1969-2022 Figure 4. Another interesting and insightful way of contrasting the population growth of Pickaway County is to compare its individual percentage contributions to Ohio's statewide population over time, as shown in Figure 4. A rising share means a region's population grew faster, or declined less, than Ohio's population, while a declining share shows it grew more slowly. In 1969, Pickaway County's population comprised 0.37% of Ohio's population, while in 2022 it totaled 0.51% thereby yielding a +0.14% share-shift.
Pickaway County Population: Annual Percent Change, 1970-2022 Figure 5. Figure 5 displays the short-run pattern of Pickaway County's population growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 1970-2022. The average annual percent change for the entire 53-year period is also illustrated on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average. On average, Pickaway County's population grew at an annual rate of 0.81% over 1970-2022. The county posted its highest growth in 1985 (5.46%) and posted its lowest growth in 1999 (-1.25%). In 2022, Pickaway County's population grew by 2.13% Pickaway County Population: Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2022 Figure 6. Over the past five decades some counties have experienced extreme swings in growth, and often such swings have tended to coincide with the decades themselves. Figure 6 again depicts the annual percent change in Pickaway County's population since 1970, but this time they are displayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, 2010s, and 2020-2022. During the 1970s, Pickaway County's annual population growth rate averaged 1.18%. It averaged 0.93% during the 1980s, 0.83% in the 1990s, 0.53% in the 2000s, 0.56% during the 2010s, 0.86% thus far this decade (2020-2022). Population Growth: Average Annual Percent Change by Decade Figure 7. Figure 7 compares the decade average growth rates for Pickaway County noted in the previous graph with the corresponding decade averages for Ohio and the nation. As the chart reveals, Pickaway County's average annual population growth topped Ohio's average throughout the 1970s (1.18% vs. 0.22%), topped Ohio's average throughout the 1980s (0.93% vs. 0.03%), outgained Ohio's average during the 1990s (0.83% vs. 0.46%), exceeded Ohio's average during the 2000s (0.53% vs. 0.17%), surpassed Ohio's average throughout the 2010s (0.56% vs. 0.22%), and surpassed Ohio's average over the 3 year period of the current decade, 2020-2022 (0.86% vs. -0.09%). Finally, relative to nationwide population growth trends, Pickaway County outperformed the nation throughout the 1970s (1.18% vs. 1.10%), recorded underneath the nation throughout the 1980s (0.93% vs. 0.95%), lagged the nation in the 1990s (0.83% vs. 1.23%), fell below the nation throughout the 2000s (0.53% vs. 0.95%), fell below the nation throughout the 2010s (0.56% vs. 0.74%), and outperformed the nation over 2020-2022 (0.86% vs. 0.31%).
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